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Prediction for CME (2021-10-25T05:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-10-25T05:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18057/-1 CME Note: This CME is associated with an eruption and B3.7 flare from AR 12887 (near S28E38) taking place around 2021-10-25T03:30Z as seen in SDO AIA 171/304 and in STEREO A EUVI 195. The CME is faintly visible to the east in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and as a faint halo in a few frames of STEREO A COR2 difference imagery. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-10-28T07:38Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 0.0% Prediction Method: SPM2 Prediction Method Note: Initial shock speed: 369 km/s Source location: S28E38 Solar wind speed: 350 km/s Duration time: 0.5 hr (default)Lead Time: 4.72 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2021-10-28T02:55Z |
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